XRP price aims for a higher rise, can long positions break through the key resistance? 3 dollars becomes the battleground for bulls and bears.

As of August 19, 2025, the price of XRP hovers around $3.01 on the Gate exchange, reaching a high of $3.15 and a low dip of $2.97 within 24 hours.

This price range reflects a deep division in the market: on one hand, analysts warn that if the key resistance at $3.30 cannot be reclaimed, there could be a 33% risk of a dip (targeting $2.00); on the other hand, technical patterns indicate it is on the verge of a "cup and handle" breakout, and once successful, the medium to long-term target is aimed at $7.20.

Short-term pressure, technical indicators show fatigue

The XRP price faced significant downward pressure on August 19. According to Coin Edition data, the token fell 4% that day, briefly dipping below the psychological level of $3.00 before rebounding slightly.

Technical indicators have released clear warning signals:

• MACD (4-hour chart): Shows a bearish tilt, indicating increased bearish momentum.
• Bollinger Bands (4-hour chart): Price continues to run along the lower band, which usually indicates the continuation of a downward trend rather than a reversal.
• RSI (30-minute chart): Dropped to 22.3, entering the oversold zone, indicating that selling pressure may be overstretched in the short term.

The market generally believes that these signals reflect investors' concerns about geopolitical uncertainty. Former U.S. President Trump's latest remarks on the Russia-Ukraine conflict have intensified market volatility, prompting capital to flee risk assets.

Key Price Defense Line, the Battlefield of Long and Short Attacks

The current technical pattern of XRP can be summarized as a narrow oscillation range of "top above, bottom below."

On the downside support aspect:

• First defense line: $2.95 (Fibonacci key level and liquidity dense area)
• Strong support: $2.80 - $2.81 (breaking this level may trigger accelerated selling)
• Ultimate defense line: $2.60 (the last barrier for maintaining the mid-term structure)

On the upside resistance:

• Spot resistance: 3.10 - 3.13 USD (EMA moving average cluster and VWAP resistance)
• Key Turning Point: $3.20 - $3.30 (Core area that determines the bull-bear boundary)
• Breakthrough target: $3.50 (a milestone that opens up a new round of upward space)

Order book data reveals the fierce battle between bulls and bears around the $3.00 mark. There is a massive buyer barrier at $2.90, with a pending order volume exceeding 675,000 XRP. If this position is breached, it could trigger a 3% instant dip.

Long-term technical pattern, hiding explosive potential

In stark contrast to the short-term volatility, a bullish pattern for XRP is quietly forming on the long-term charts.

Technical analysts point out that XRP has formed a classic "Cup and Handle Pattern" on the monthly chart, a structure that typically appears before explosive price increases. The breakout target for this pattern points to $7.20, based on a comprehensive calculation of the cup depth and Fibonacci extension levels.

What is more striking is the three-phase pattern revealed by the RSI cycle model:

1. Acceleration phase: Prices rise rapidly, RSI approaches overbought zone.
2. Adjustment phase: Price dips to the support zone, RSI returns to neutral.
3. Outbreak Stage: RSI rebounds strongly to 80 - 97, and the price rises in a parabolic manner.

Current analysis indicates that XRP has entered the early stage of the third phase, and historical similarities suggest that a potential significant rise may be brewing.

Positive fundamentals, building value support

Aside from technical factors, the fundamentals of XRP are undergoing substantial improvements:

• Legal risk alleviated: The years-long SEC lawsuit has officially ended, and Ripple has agreed to pay a $125 million fine, eliminating the largest regulatory uncertainty.
• Institutional funds influx: Within 48 hours after the lawsuit resolution, on-chain monitoring shows that over 900 million XRP (worth approximately 2.88 billion USD) were concentrated by large addresses.
• ETF expectations are heating up: Several US exchanges have submitted XRP ETF applications, and industry predictions have raised the approval probability to 75%. Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg predicts "it could be approved as early as this year."
• Ecosystem expansion accelerates: Ripple invests $200 million to acquire the stablecoin platform Rail, promoting the integration of its stablecoin RLUSD (market cap $316 million) with cross-border payment networks.

These developments together have built a solid value foundation for XRP, distinguishing it from altcoins that lack practical application scenarios.

Overview of Key Price Levels and Technical Signals for XRP (as of August 19, 2025)

Analysis Dimension | Key Levels/Signals | Market Implications --- | --- | --- Current price | 3.00 USD | Psychological barrier, the front line of the battle between bulls and bears 24-hour high | 3.15 USD | Short-term resistance test level 24-hour low | 2.97 USD | Key support test level Key resistance zone | 3.20 - 3.30 USD | The bull-bear boundary that determines the medium-term trend Strength and weakness dividing support | 2.80 - 2.81 USD | Last line of defense for bulls, a breach could trigger a sharp decline MACD (4H) | Bearish Divergence | Bearish Momentum Strengthening Signal RSI (30 minutes) | 22.3 (oversold) | Short-term rebound possibility exists

Trading Strategies Under Bull and Bear Duel

In the face of the current market environment, traders need to develop a strategy that balances offense and defense:

Bullish Strategy:

• Establish a position in the 2.90 - 2.95 USD defense zone, with a target of 3.20 USD as the first resistance.
• If it breaks through 3.30 USD with volume, you can add to your position, targeting 3.50 USD and above.
• The stop-loss is set below $2.80 to guard against technical breakdown risks.

Short strategy:

• Place short positions in the 3.10 - 3.12 USD resistance zone, target 2.95 USD
• If it is confirmed to dip below 2.80 USD, the short position can be increased, targeting a drop to 2.60 USD.
• Strict stop loss above 3.30 dollars to guard against sudden breakout risks.

Long-term investors:

• Adopt a tiered position-building strategy, focusing on the value range of 2.80 - 3.00 USD.
• Extend the holding period until the ETF approval and other catalyst events materialize
• The target is set in the technical and fundamental resonance area of 5.00 - 7.20 dollars.

##Future Outlook

Numbers don't lie. If XRP falls below the support of 2.80 dollars, it may slide to 2.00 dollars; if it successfully breaks through 3.30 dollars, it may embark on a journey towards 5.00 dollars or even 7.20 dollars.

The market order book shows that both bulls and bears have amassed significant positions around $3.00. A buy wall of over 675,000 XRP at $2.90 confronts a dense sell wall above — the outcome of this liquidity war will determine the short-term fate of XRP.